Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060
2024-10-06 0.000023 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000051 0.000062 0.000075
2024-10-13 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000056 0.000071 0.000091
2024-10-20 0.000016 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000076 0.000100
2024-10-27 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000082 0.000113
2024-11-03 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087 0.000123
2024-11-10 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000065 0.000094 0.000138
2024-11-17 0.000011 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000068 0.000101 0.000151
2024-11-24 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000071 0.000108 0.000166
2024-12-01 0.000009 0.000016 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000112 0.000175
2024-12-08 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000043 0.000072 0.000115 0.000185
2024-12-15 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000121 0.000197
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000045 0.000078 0.000130 0.000216
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000013 0.000024 0.000045 0.000081 0.000137 0.000231
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000047 0.000085 0.000146 0.000251
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000012 0.000023 0.000045 0.000084 0.000148 0.000259
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000046 0.000087 0.000155 0.000275
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000011 0.000022 0.000045 0.000087 0.000159 0.000287
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000046 0.000091 0.000168 0.000307
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000047 0.000094 0.000177 0.000327
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000048 0.000097 0.000185 0.000347
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000047 0.000097 0.000188 0.000358
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000009 0.000021 0.000046 0.000098 0.000192 0.000369